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Census Tract · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Winter Haven Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105013601 · Polk, FL · pop 2,442 · 51% of tract blocks fall in Winter Haven

Tract 12105013601 covers Winter Haven in Florida. Home to 2,442 residents, it scores 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #41,803 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

35% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,268 monthly, set against $38,523 in average yearly household income, roughly 39% of income at the averages. About 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 20% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units656
Renter share30.2%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate15.8%
Median income$38,523

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 16 tracts In Winter Haven
Elevated
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#48 of 174 tracts In Polk
Elevated
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#989 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#31,159 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winter Haven and the region

Centroid at 28.0563, -81.7292 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winter Haven scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winter Haven
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.8% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,268 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Haven
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8

How Winter Haven compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winter Haven risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 013601Winter Haven: 2.42.4Winter Havenparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winter Haven

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winter Haven, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105013601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105013601?

Census tract 12105013601 in Winter Haven scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105013601?

Median gross rent is $1,268/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105013601?

15.8% of residents in tract 12105013601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,442.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105013601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 80th, minority 88th, housing 99th.
Q5

How does tract 12105013601 compare to Winter Haven overall?

Tract 12105013601 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Winter Haven at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Haven; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winter Haven

Top eight tracts in Winter Haven ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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