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Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Winter Haven Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105013601 · Polk, FL · pop 2,442 · 51% of tract blocks fall in Winter Haven

Tract 12105013601 sits in Winter Haven, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. Population here is 2,442. Disability prevalence runs 55.3% against 31.5% nationally.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 20% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units656
Renter share30.2%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate15.8%
Median income$38,523

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 16 tracts In Winter Haven
Elevated
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 174 tracts In Polk
High
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#1,236 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#35,669 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winter Haven and the region

Centroid at 28.0563, -81.7292 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winter Haven scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winter Haven
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.8% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,268 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Haven
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8

How Winter Haven compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winter Haven risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0136014.0Winter Havenparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winter Haven

The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $38,523, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10.

Against Polk County at 45.8%, 35% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 26.6% against 11.3% nationally.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10. It sits 0.9 points above the Polk County average of 3.9. Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 9.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,268, close to the Winter Haven average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105013601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105013601?

Census tract 12105013601 in Winter Haven scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105013601?

Median gross rent is $1,268/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105013601?

15.8% of residents in tract 12105013601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,442.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105013601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 80th, minority 88th, housing 99th.
Q5

How does tract 12105013601 compare to Winter Haven overall?

Tract 12105013601 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Winter Haven at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Haven; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winter Haven

Top eight tracts in Winter Haven ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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