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Census Tract · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Winter Haven Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105013802 · Polk, FL · pop 6,343 · 54% of tract blocks fall in Winter Haven

Census tract 12105013802 covers part of Winter Haven, FL, and scores 4.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,343. Cost burden runs around a third here against 45.8% across Polk County.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 25% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,681
Renter share36.1%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate17.2%
Median income$51,131

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 16 tracts In Winter Haven
Elevated
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 174 tracts In Polk
High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#1,428 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#37,882 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winter Haven and the region

Centroid at 28.0076, -81.7554 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winter Haven scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winter Haven
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.2% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,145 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Haven
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8

How Winter Haven compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winter Haven risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 0138024.0Winter Havenparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 910Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 8.39%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.6%Peak (2003)
  • 38Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12105013802
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winter Haven

The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10.

The severe-burden share is 10%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Court records carry 910 eviction filings across 17 observed years. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.0% against 11.3% nationally.

It sits 0.8 points above the Polk County average of 3.9. The worst year on record was 2003, when 14.6% of renter households were served.

Average gross rent is $1,145, 8% below the Winter Haven average. In a typical year about 8.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105013802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105013802?

Census tract 12105013802 in Winter Haven scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105013802?

Median gross rent is $1,145/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105013802?

17.2% of residents in tract 12105013802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,343.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105013802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 80th, minority 71th, housing 51th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105013802?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 910 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105013802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.39% of renter households, peaking at 14.6% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105013802 compare to Winter Haven overall?

Tract 12105013802 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Winter Haven at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Haven; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winter Haven

Top eight tracts in Winter Haven ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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