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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Winter Haven Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105013602 · Polk, FL · pop 4,043 · 91% of tract blocks fall in Winter Haven

Census tract 12105013602 covers part of Winter Haven, FL, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,043 residents. 37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 28% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,310
Renter share49.2%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate36.2%
Median income$45,357

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 16 tracts In Winter Haven
Very High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#13 of 174 tracts In Polk
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#495 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winter Haven and the region

Centroid at 28.0463, -81.7171 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winter Haven scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winter Haven
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
36.2% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$1,030 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Haven
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8

How Winter Haven compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winter Haven risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0136024.0Winter Havenparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winter Haven

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9/10. Disability prevalence runs 51.7% against 31.5% nationally.

The poverty rate is 36%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.3/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.5 points above the Polk County average of 3.9. Adults with no health insurance runs 24.3% against 11.3% nationally.

At $1,030 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Winter Haven commands. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.5/10.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105013602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105013602?

Census tract 12105013602 in Winter Haven scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105013602?

Median gross rent is $1,030/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105013602?

36.2% of residents in tract 12105013602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,043.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105013602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 74th, minority 89th, housing 94th.
Q5

How does tract 12105013602 compare to Winter Haven overall?

Tract 12105013602 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Winter Haven at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Haven; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winter Haven

Top eight tracts in Winter Haven ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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