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Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Winter Haven Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105013702 · Polk, FL · pop 6,688 · 86% of tract blocks fall in Winter Haven

12105013702 is a census tract in Winter Haven, FL. It scores 4.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,688 residents. Severe burden reaches 39%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 19% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units2,515
Renter share47.2%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate15.2%
Median income$48,578

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 16 tracts In Winter Haven
Elevated
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#50 of 174 tracts In Polk
Elevated
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#1,664 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#41,206 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winter Haven and the region

Centroid at 28.0332, -81.7069 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winter Haven scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winter Haven
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.2% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,327 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Haven
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8

How Winter Haven compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winter Haven risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.5This tracttract 0137024.0Winter Havenparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 792Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 8.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.7%Peak (2007)
  • 51Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12105013702
Filings climbed 50% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winter Haven

59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Polk County average of 45.8%. Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $48,578, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.2% against 11.3% nationally.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 792 filings here across 17 tracked years. Against the Polk County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.6 points.

Filings peaked in 2007 at 18.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 8.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 5.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105013702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105013702?

Census tract 12105013702 in Winter Haven scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105013702?

Median gross rent is $1,327/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105013702?

15.2% of residents in tract 12105013702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,688.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105013702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 36th, minority 67th, housing 12th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105013702?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 792 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105013702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.15% of renter households, peaking at 18.7% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105013702 compare to Winter Haven overall?

Tract 12105013702 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Winter Haven at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Haven; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winter Haven

Top eight tracts in Winter Haven ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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