Census Tract · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Winter Haven Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12105013702 ·
Polk, FL · pop 6,688 · 86% of tract blocks fall in Winter Haven
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12105013702 (Winter Haven, Florida) comes in at 5.8/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 69th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 59% of renter households, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,327 a month against an average household income of $48,578 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 47% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%Stable renters 19%Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units2,515
Renter share47.2%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate15.2%
Median income$48,578
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
53th percentile
#8 of 16 tracts In Winter Haven
Moderate
Within county
68th percentile
#57 of 174 tracts In Polk
Elevated
Within state
77th percentile
#1,204 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
59th percentile
#34,332 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Winter Haven and the region
Centroid at 28.0332, -81.7069 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winter Haven scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winter Haven
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.2% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,327 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Haven
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8
How Winter Haven compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
78%Socioeconomic
36%Household composition
67%Racial/ethnic minority
12%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winter Haven, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 792 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 8.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 18.7% of renter households in 2007.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12105013702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105013702?
Census tract 12105013702 in Winter Haven scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12105013702?
Median gross rent is $1,327/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12105013702?
15.2% of residents in tract 12105013702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,688.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12105013702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 36th, minority 67th, housing 12th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105013702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 792 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105013702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.15% of renter households, peaking at 18.7% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12105013702 compare to Winter Haven overall?
Tract 12105013702 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Winter Haven at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Haven; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Winter Haven
Top eight tracts in Winter Haven ranked by composite eviction-risk score.