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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Winter Haven Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105013801 · Polk, FL · pop 4,109 · 54% of tract blocks fall in Winter Haven

Tract 12105013801 sits in Winter Haven, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Population here is 4,109. Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 21% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,633
Renter share44.5%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate26.9%
Median income$49,288

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 16 tracts In Winter Haven
Very High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#17 of 174 tracts In Polk
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#495 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winter Haven and the region

Centroid at 28.0173, -81.7503 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winter Haven scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winter Haven
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.9% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$1,269 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Haven
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8

How Winter Haven compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winter Haven risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0138014.0Winter Havenparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 952Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 8.72%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.4%Peak (2007)
  • 48Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12105013801
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winter Haven

The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10. The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the Polk County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.

Against Polk County at 45.8%, 53% of renters here are cost-burdened. Court records carry 952 eviction filings across 17 observed years. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.7% against 11.3% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2007, when 11.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 8.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.3/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,269, close to the Winter Haven average. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $49,288.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105013801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105013801?

Census tract 12105013801 in Winter Haven scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105013801?

Median gross rent is $1,269/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105013801?

26.9% of residents in tract 12105013801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,109.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105013801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 90th, minority 69th, housing 71th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105013801?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 952 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105013801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.72% of renter households, peaking at 11.4% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105013801 compare to Winter Haven overall?

Tract 12105013801 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Winter Haven at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Haven; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winter Haven

Top eight tracts in Winter Haven ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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