Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally
Winter Haven Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12105013701 · Polk, FL · pop 2,118
Here is how census tract 12105013701, in Winter Haven, looks to a landlord: a 5.7/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 2,118. It lands near the 65th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $597 monthly, set against $26,080 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 88% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44%
Stable renters 44%
Owners 12%
Tract context
Occupied units1,112
Renter share87.9%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate19.5%
Median income$26,080
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
88
th percentile
High
National
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Winter Haven and the region
Centroid at 28.0250, -81.7316 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winter Haven scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Winter Haven
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.5% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$597 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Haven
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Haven
7.8
How Winter Haven compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 607Total filings over 17 yrs
- 4.08%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.5%Peak (2017)
- 69Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 263% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winter Haven
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winter Haven, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 607 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 4.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.5% of renter households in 2017.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12105013701
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105013701?
Census tract 12105013701 in Winter Haven scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12105013701?
Median gross rent is $597/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12105013701?
19.5% of residents in tract 12105013701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,118.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12105013701?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 65th, minority 54th, housing 80th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105013701?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 607 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105013701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.08% of renter households, peaking at 8.5% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12105013701 compare to Winter Haven overall?
Tract 12105013701 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Winter Haven at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Haven; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Winter Haven
Top eight tracts in Winter Haven ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12105013602
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12105013901
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12105013801
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105013601
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105013802
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105013702
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105014003
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12105014501
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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