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Census Tract · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Lakeland Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105016400 · Polk, FL · pop 2,269

Tract 12105016400, home to 2,269 residents in Lakeland in Polk County, scores 5.2/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 47th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

52% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,084 monthly, set against $40,121 in average yearly household income, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 86% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 41% Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units1,081
Renter share85.6%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate38.9%
Median income$40,121

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 39 tracts In Lakeland
Very High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 174 tracts In Polk
Very High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#279 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
National
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#16,850 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lakeland and the region

Centroid at 28.0482, -81.9547 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lakeland scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
38.9% poverty · this tract
9.7
Supply constraint
$1,084 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeland
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeland
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5

How Lakeland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lakeland risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 016400Lakeland: 2.52.5Lakelandparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,749Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 11.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 28.0%Peak (2002)
  • 63Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121050164002000: 186 filings (18.58/100 renter HHs)2001: 230 filings (22.98/100 renter HHs)2002: 280 filings (27.97/100 renter HHs)2003: 157 filings (15.68/100 renter HHs)2004: 84 filings (8.39/100 renter HHs)2005: 99 filings (10.49/100 renter HHs)2007: 64 filings (6.78/100 renter HHs)2008: 34 filings (3.60/100 renter HHs)2009: 23 filings (2.44/100 renter HHs)2010: 44 filings (6.34/100 renter HHs)2011: 48 filings (6.99/100 renter HHs)2012: 88 filings (12.81/100 renter HHs)2013: 98 filings (14.26/100 renter HHs)2014: 93 filings (13.54/100 renter HHs)2015: 78 filings (11.35/100 renter HHs)2016: 80 filings (10.70/100 renter HHs)2017: 63 filings (8.42/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 66% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lakeland

What moves this score most is economic stress at 9.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Polk County average of 5.0 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,749 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 11.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 28.0% of renter households in 2002.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105016400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105016400?

Census tract 12105016400 in Lakeland scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105016400?

Median gross rent is $1,084/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105016400?

38.9% of residents in tract 12105016400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,269.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105016400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 64th, minority 72th, housing 94th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105016400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,749 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105016400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.84% of renter households, peaking at 28.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105016400 compare to Lakeland overall?

Tract 12105016400 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Lakeland at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lakeland

Top eight tracts in Lakeland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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