Magnificent Mile Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 80% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. It sits 1.1 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.5/10. 41% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Cook County average of 45.6%.

Court records carry 1,232 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Food insecurity runs 9.7% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.7% against 15.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2003, when 6.1% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 3.9% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 86th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 2.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.