Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Evanston Lakeshore Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17031809401 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,879 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

17031809401 is a census tract in the Evanston Lakeshore Historic District area of Evanston, IL. It scores 5.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,879 residents. 71% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Cook County average of 45.6%.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 16% Owners 46%

Tract context

Occupied units1,624

Renter share54.5%

SVI overall0.46

Poverty rate9.9%

Median income$103,269

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Evanston and the region

Centroid at 42.0448, -87.6725 · click any tract to drill in

Why Evanston Lakeshore Historic District scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Evanston

7.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.5

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

9.9% poverty · this tract

2.5

Supply constraint

$1,489 rent vs county FMR

3.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Evanston

6.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Evanston

8.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Evanston

6.1

How Evanston Lakeshore Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

27%Socioeconomic
44%Household composition
43%Racial/ethnic minority
75%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
59%Grade B
1%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Evanston Lakeshore Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

6.7%Housing insecurity
3.8%Utility-shutoff threat
8.4%Food insecurity
6.0%SNAP enrollment
4.7%Transit barriers
5.7%No health insurance
11.5%Frequent mental distress
23.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Evanston Lakeshore Historic District

Severe burden reaches 31%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.8/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.5/10. Food insecurity runs 8.4% against 17.8% nationally.

At $1,489 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Evanston commands. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 76th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.1/10.

Against average income of $103,269, annual rent is just 17%. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Cook County average of 6.1 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031809401

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031809401?

Census tract 17031809401 in the Evanston Lakeshore Historic District neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17031809401?

Median gross rent is $1,489/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031809401?

9.9% of residents in tract 17031809401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,879.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031809401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 44th, minority 43th, housing 75th.

Is tract 17031809401 considered part of Evanston Lakeshore Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031809401 fall within Evanston Lakeshore Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17031809401 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17031809401 compare to Evanston overall?

Tract 17031809401 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Evanston at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Evanston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17031809401 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Evanston

Top eight tracts in Evanston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.