Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Frontenac Eviction Risk: Moderate , Aurora

Tract 17043846513 · DuPage County, IL · pop 3,302 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

17043846513 is a census tract in the Frontenac area of Aurora, IL. It scores 4.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,302 residents. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

4.7

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 4% Owners 89%

Tract context

Occupied units1,008

Renter share10.7%

SVI overall0.38

Poverty rate18.9%

Median income$128,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Aurora and the region

Centroid at 41.7277, -88.2203 · click any tract to drill in

Why Frontenac scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Aurora

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

18.9% poverty · this tract

4.7

Supply constraint

$1,864 rent vs county FMR

5.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Aurora

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Aurora

3.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Aurora

3.5

How Frontenac compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

43%Socioeconomic
41%Household composition
63%Racial/ethnic minority
24%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Frontenac. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.0%Housing insecurity
4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
10.5%Food insecurity
8.1%SNAP enrollment
5.5%Transit barriers
5.0%No health insurance
12.2%Frequent mental distress
20.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Frontenac

Cost burden runs 63% here against 41.4% across DuPage County. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 2.5/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

At $1,864 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Aurora commands. Food insecurity runs 10.5% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 8.1% against 15.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Aurora eviction risk rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.4/10.

Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $128,750, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the DuPage County average of 4.4 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17043846513

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17043846513?

Census tract 17043846513 in the Frontenac neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17043846513?

Median gross rent is $1,864/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17043846513?

18.9% of residents in tract 17043846513 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,302.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17043846513?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 41th, minority 63th, housing 24th.

Is tract 17043846513 considered part of Frontenac?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17043846513 fall within Frontenac (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17043846513 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17043846513 compare to Aurora overall?

Tract 17043846513 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Aurora at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aurora

Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.