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Census Tract · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally

Aurora Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17089853200 · Kane County, IL · pop 5,861

With a score of 5.6/10, tract 17089853200 in Aurora ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 5,861 residents. On the national scale it ranks #32,522 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 62% of renter households, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,412 a month against an average household income of $50,986 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 24% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,916
Renter share62.4%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate21.3%
Median income$50,986

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 41 tracts In Aurora
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 104 tracts In Kane County
Very High
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#1,378 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
National
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#37,643 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Aurora and the region

Centroid at 41.7658, -88.3204 · click any tract to drill in

Why Aurora scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
21.3% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,412 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aurora
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aurora
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aurora
3.5

How Aurora compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Aurora risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.24.2This tracttract 853200Aurora: 4.24.2Auroraparent cityCounty: 2.32.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 123Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 3.91%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.2%Peak (2011)
  • 49Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2011
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170898532002009: 41 filings (4.51/100 renter HHs)2010: 33 filings (3.05/100 renter HHs)2011: 49 filings (4.16/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Aurora

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 5.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Aurora eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Kane County average of 5.3 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 123 eviction filings here over 3 tracked years, with about 3.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.2% of renter households in 2011.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17089853200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17089853200?

Census tract 17089853200 in Aurora scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17089853200?

Median gross rent is $1,412/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17089853200?

21.3% of residents in tract 17089853200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,861.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17089853200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 94th, minority 87th, housing 78th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17089853200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 123 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 17089853200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.91% of renter households, peaking at 4.2% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 17089853200 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17089853200 compare to Aurora overall?

Tract 17089853200 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Aurora at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 17089853200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 21% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aurora

Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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