Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Scraper-Moecherville Eviction Risk: Moderate , Aurora

Tract 17089853602 · Kane County, IL · pop 3,313 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 17089853602 covers part of the Scraper-Moecherville area of Aurora, IL, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,313. The severe-burden share is 46%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 23% Owners 46%

Tract context

Occupied units1,146

Renter share54.3%

SVI overall0.85

Poverty rate22.5%

Median income$41,049

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Aurora and the region

Centroid at 41.7524, -88.2922 · click any tract to drill in

Why Scraper-Moecherville scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Aurora

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

22.5% poverty · this tract

5.6

Supply constraint

$862 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Aurora

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Aurora

3.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Aurora

3.5

How Scraper-Moecherville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

93%Socioeconomic
66%Household composition
96%Racial/ethnic minority
54%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
29%Grade C
63%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Scraper-Moecherville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

34.3%Housing insecurity
20.4%Utility-shutoff threat
45.4%Food insecurity
42.2%SNAP enrollment
20.5%Transit barriers
34.2%No health insurance
19.4%Frequent mental distress
40.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Scraper-Moecherville

Average gross rent is $862, 46% below the Aurora average. Food insecurity runs 45.4% against 17.8% nationally.

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. Against Kane County at 45.5%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened. Against the Kane County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.

The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 20.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Aurora. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.7/10.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $41,049.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17089853602

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17089853602?

Census tract 17089853602 in the Scraper-Moecherville neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17089853602?

Median gross rent is $862/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17089853602?

22.5% of residents in tract 17089853602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,313.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17089853602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 66th, minority 96th, housing 54th.

Is tract 17089853602 considered part of Scraper-Moecherville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17089853602 fall within Scraper-Moecherville (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17089853602 struggle to pay rent?

About 34.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17089853602 compare to Aurora overall?

Tract 17089853602 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Aurora at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17089853602 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 63% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aurora

Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.