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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Scraper-Moecherville Eviction Risk: Moderate , Aurora

Tract 17089853601 · Kane County, IL · pop 2,581 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 17089853601 sits in the Scraper-Moecherville area of Aurora eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. It is home to 2,581 residents. Adults with no health insurance runs 33.6% against 11.3% nationally.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 46% Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units737
Renter share73.4%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate14.4%
Median income$64,107

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 10 tracts In Scraper-Moecherville
High
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 41 tracts In Aurora
High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 104 tracts In Kane County
Very High
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#1,219 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Aurora and the region

Centroid at 41.7532, -88.3066 · click any tract to drill in

Why Scraper-Moecherville scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
14.4% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,153 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aurora
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aurora
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aurora
3.5

How Scraper-Moecherville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Scraper-Moecherville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 853601Aurora: 4.04.0Auroraparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Scraper-Moecherville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Scraper-Moecherville

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.5/10. This is renter territory: 73% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

SNAP participation runs 31.2% against 15.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,153, 28% below the Aurora average.

Against Kane County at 45.5%, 38% of renters here are cost-burdened. It sits 1.3 points above the Kane County average of 4.1.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Aurora. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 8.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17089853601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17089853601?

Census tract 17089853601 in the Scraper-Moecherville neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17089853601?

Median gross rent is $1,153/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17089853601?

14.4% of residents in tract 17089853601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,581.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17089853601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 87th, minority 94th, housing 56th.
Q5

Is tract 17089853601 considered part of Scraper-Moecherville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17089853601 fall within Scraper-Moecherville (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17089853601 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17089853601 compare to Aurora overall?

Tract 17089853601 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Aurora at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 17089853601 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 20% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aurora

Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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