Scraper-Moecherville Eviction Risk: Moderate , Aurora
Tract 17089853401 · Kane County, IL · pop 2,600 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 17089853401 in the Scraper-Moecherville area of Aurora, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 46%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Aurora and the region
Centroid at 41.7607, -88.2937 · click any tract to drill in
Why Scraper-Moecherville scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Scraper-Moecherville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 96%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 97%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Scraper-Moecherville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.3%Housing insecurity
- 13.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 32.2%Food insecurity
- 25.1%SNAP enrollment
- 14.3%Transit barriers
- 29.1%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 33.3%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Scraper-Moecherville
Adults with no health insurance runs 29.1% against 11.3% nationally. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 2/10. Food insecurity runs 32.2% against 17.8% nationally.
Average gross rent is $1,226, 23% below the Aurora average. Against the Kane County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.9/10.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. 46% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $75,912.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 17089853401
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17089853401?
What is the average rent in tract 17089853401?
What is the poverty rate in tract 17089853401?
How socially vulnerable is tract 17089853401?
Is tract 17089853401 considered part of Scraper-Moecherville?
What share of households in tract 17089853401 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 17089853401 compare to Aurora overall?
Was tract 17089853401 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Aurora
Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.