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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Scraper-Moecherville Eviction Risk: Moderate , Aurora

Tract 17089853401 · Kane County, IL · pop 2,600 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 17089853401 in the Scraper-Moecherville area of Aurora, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 46%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 11% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units662
Renter share20.1%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate17.6%
Median income$75,912

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 10 tracts In Scraper-Moecherville
Elevated
Within parent city
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#12 of 41 tracts In Aurora
Elevated
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 104 tracts In Kane County
Very High
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#1,219 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Aurora and the region

Centroid at 41.7607, -88.2937 · click any tract to drill in

Why Scraper-Moecherville scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aurora
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
17.6% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,226 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aurora
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aurora
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aurora
3.5

How Scraper-Moecherville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Scraper-Moecherville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 853401Aurora: 4.04.0Auroraparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Scraper-Moecherville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Scraper-Moecherville

Adults with no health insurance runs 29.1% against 11.3% nationally. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 2/10. Food insecurity runs 32.2% against 17.8% nationally.

Average gross rent is $1,226, 23% below the Aurora average. Against the Kane County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.9/10.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. 46% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $75,912.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 17089853401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17089853401?

Census tract 17089853401 in the Scraper-Moecherville neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17089853401?

Median gross rent is $1,226/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17089853401?

17.6% of residents in tract 17089853401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,600.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17089853401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 79th, minority 96th, housing 8th.
Q5

Is tract 17089853401 considered part of Scraper-Moecherville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17089853401 fall within Scraper-Moecherville (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17089853401 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17089853401 compare to Aurora overall?

Tract 17089853401 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Aurora at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aurora eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 17089853401 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 97% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aurora

Top eight tracts in Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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