Census Tract · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Rockford Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17201000507 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 3,430 · 59% of tract blocks fall in Rockford

17201000507 is a census tract in Rockford, IL. It scores 5/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,430. The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 25% Owners 43%

Tract context

Occupied units1,447

Renter share56.7%

SVI overall0.90

Poverty rate21.6%

Median income$57,969

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rockford and the region

Centroid at 42.2733, -89.0146 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rockford scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Rockford

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

21.6% poverty · this tract

5.4

Supply constraint

$903 rent vs county FMR

2.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Rockford

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Rockford

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Rockford

3.5

How Rockford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

73%Socioeconomic
97%Household composition
59%Racial/ethnic minority
87%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
4%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.0%Housing insecurity
8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
16.2%Food insecurity
14.8%SNAP enrollment
8.9%Transit barriers
9.0%No health insurance
17.2%Frequent mental distress
31.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rockford

Cost burden runs 56% here against 44.4% across Winnebago County. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.6/10.

The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10.

It sits 0.7 points above the Winnebago County average of 4.3. Average gross rent is $903, 8% below the Rockford average.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.1/10.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $57,969.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17201000507

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201000507?

Census tract 17201000507 in Rockford scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17201000507?

Median gross rent is $903/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17201000507?

21.6% of residents in tract 17201000507 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,430.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17201000507?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 97th, minority 59th, housing 87th.

What share of households in tract 17201000507 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17201000507 compare to Rockford overall?

Tract 17201000507 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Rockford at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17201000507 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 4% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rockford

Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.