Census Tract · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Rockford Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 17201003709 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 1,819 · 97% of tract blocks fall in Rockford

Tract 17201003709 sits in Rockford eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.6/10.

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 22% Owners 52%

Tract context

Occupied units752

Renter share48.3%

SVI overall0.92

Poverty rate21.0%

Median income$48,462

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rockford and the region

Centroid at 42.2352, -89.0259 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rockford scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Rockford

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

21.0% poverty · this tract

5.2

Supply constraint

$781 rent vs county FMR

1.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Rockford

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Rockford

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Rockford

3.5

How Rockford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 92

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

98%Socioeconomic
82%Household composition
76%Racial/ethnic minority
63%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

24.1%Housing insecurity
15.5%Utility-shutoff threat
31.1%Food insecurity
31.0%SNAP enrollment
15.4%Transit barriers
16.7%No health insurance
21.6%Frequent mental distress
38.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rockford

The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. SNAP participation runs 31.0% against 15.2% nationally.

Cost burden runs 54% here against 44.4% across Winnebago County. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

Food insecurity runs 31.1% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $781, 21% below the Rockford average.

The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 0.8 points above the Winnebago County average of 4.3.

Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.3/10.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $48,462.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17201003709

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201003709?

Census tract 17201003709 in Rockford scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17201003709?

Median gross rent is $781/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17201003709?

21.0% of residents in tract 17201003709 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,819.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17201003709?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 82th, minority 76th, housing 63th.

What share of households in tract 17201003709 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17201003709 compare to Rockford overall?

Tract 17201003709 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Rockford at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rockford

Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.