Within parent city
30
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally
Rockford Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 17201000515 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 2,811
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 17201000515 (Rockford, Illinois) comes in at 4.7/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 36% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,321 a month while the average household earns $76,000 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 45% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,142
Renter share44.7%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate14.6%
Median income$76,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
National
57
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Rockford and the region
Centroid at 42.3142, -89.0163 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rockford scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Rockford
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
14.6% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,321 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rockford
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rockford
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rockford
3.5
How Rockford compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 45%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.3%Housing insecurity
- 7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.7%Food insecurity
- 12.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.2%Transit barriers
- 6.7%No health insurance
- 15.3%Frequent mental distress
- 30.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Rockford
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 6.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Rockford eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Winnebago County average of 5.0 and below the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 17201000515
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201000515?
Census tract 17201000515 in Rockford scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17201000515?
Median gross rent is $1,321/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17201000515?
14.6% of residents in tract 17201000515 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,811.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17201000515?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 59th, minority 55th, housing 45th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 17201000515 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 17201000515 compare to Rockford overall?
Tract 17201000515 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Rockford at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Rockford
Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Downtown Rockford
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Downtown Rockford
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Jackson Oaks
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Churchill's Grove
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
17201001800
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
17201002100
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
17201002400
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Beverly Park
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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