Census Tract · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally

Rockford Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 17201001800 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 4,734

Census tract 17201001800 belongs to Rockford, Illinois. It is home to 4,734 residents and scores 5.5/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 57th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 59% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 42% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $885 a month against an average household income of $34,007 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 56% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.2

Elevated

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 23% Owners 44%

Tract context

Occupied units2,111

Renter share55.9%

SVI overall0.94

Poverty rate35.0%

Median income$34,007

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rockford and the region

Centroid at 42.2448, -89.0719 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rockford scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Rockford

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

35.0% poverty · this tract

8.7

Supply constraint

$885 rent vs county FMR

2.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Rockford

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Rockford

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Rockford

3.5

How Rockford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

99%Socioeconomic
94%Household composition
70%Racial/ethnic minority
61%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
1%Grade C
51%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

30.0%Housing insecurity
20.6%Utility-shutoff threat
41.8%Food insecurity
44.0%SNAP enrollment
20.2%Transit barriers
21.4%No health insurance
23.1%Frequent mental distress
44.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rockford

What moves this score most is economic stress at 8.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Rockford eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Winnebago County average of 5.0 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 51% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17201001800

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201001800?

Census tract 17201001800 in Rockford scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17201001800?

Median gross rent is $885/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17201001800?

35.0% of residents in tract 17201001800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,734.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17201001800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 94th, minority 70th, housing 61th.

What share of households in tract 17201001800 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17201001800 compare to Rockford overall?

Tract 17201001800 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Rockford at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17201001800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 51% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rockford

Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.