Fairground Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines
Tract 19153002100 · Polk County, IA · pop 4,402 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 19153002100 covers the Fairground area of Des Moines, home to 4,402 residents. For landlords it grades 5.1/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 43% of US census tracts.
48% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,120 a month while the average household earns $52,284 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.5954, -93.5702 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fairground scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Fairground compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 27%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 70%Grade C
- 29%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 484Total filings over 10 yrs
- 9.91%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.2%Peak (2015)
- 68Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.4%Housing insecurity
- 10.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.3%Food insecurity
- 19.7%SNAP enrollment
- 11.2%Transit barriers
- 14.9%No health insurance
- 20.6%Frequent mental distress
- 34.8%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Fairground
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 4.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Part of this tract, about 29% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 19153002100
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153002100?
What is the average rent in tract 19153002100?
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153002100?
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153002100?
Is tract 19153002100 considered part of Fairground?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153002100?
What share of households in tract 19153002100 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 19153002100 compare to Des Moines overall?
Was tract 19153002100 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.