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Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Fort Des Moines Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 19153004602 · Polk County, IA · pop 6,426 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 4.5/10, tract 19153004602 in the Fort Des Moines area of Des Moines, IA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,426 residents. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 30% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units2,937
Renter share47.0%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate12.3%
Median income$52,917

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Fort Des Moines
Moderate
Within parent city
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 60 tracts In Des Moines
Moderate
Within county
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#35 of 112 tracts In Polk County
Elevated
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#188 of 896 tracts In Iowa
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Des Moines and the region

Centroid at 41.5336, -93.6112 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fort Des Moines scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
12.3% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$896 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5

How Fort Des Moines compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fort Des Moines risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.5This tracttract 0046023.4Des Moinesparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,017Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 17.99%Avg annual filing rate
  • 22.8%Peak (2007)
  • 172Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 19153004602
Filings dropped 27% over the past 10 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fort Des Moines

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.3/10.

At $896 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Des Moines commands. Cost burden runs 37% here against 42.0% across Polk County. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,017 filings here across 10 tracked years.

Against the Polk County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. The worst year on record was 2007, when 22.8% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 18.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 19153004602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153004602?

Census tract 19153004602 in the Fort Des Moines neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19153004602?

Median gross rent is $896/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19153004602?

12.3% of residents in tract 19153004602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,426.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19153004602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 83th, minority 58th, housing 95th.
Q5

Is tract 19153004602 considered part of Fort Des Moines?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153004602 fall within Fort Des Moines (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153004602?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,017 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153004602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.99% of renter households, peaking at 22.8% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 19153004602 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 19153004602 compare to Des Moines overall?

Tract 19153004602 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines

Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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