Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Fort Des Moines Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 19153004602 · Polk County, IA · pop 6,426 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 19153004602, home to 6,426 residents in the Fort Des Moines area of Des Moines, scores 4.6/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #62,272 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 37% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $896 a month while the average household earns $52,917 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units2,937
Renter share47.0%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate12.3%
Median income$52,917
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
75
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.5336, -93.6112 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fort Des Moines scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
12.3% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$896 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5
How Fort Des Moines compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,017Total filings over 10 yrs
- 17.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 22.8%Peak (2007)
- 172Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 27% over the past 10 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.3%Housing insecurity
- 9.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.4%Food insecurity
- 15.9%SNAP enrollment
- 9.8%Transit barriers
- 12.0%No health insurance
- 19.2%Frequent mental distress
- 31.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fort Des Moines
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 3.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Polk County average of 5.0 and in line with the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,017 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 18.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 22.8% of renter households in 2007.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153004602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153004602?
Census tract 19153004602 in the Fort Des Moines neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153004602?
Median gross rent is $896/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153004602?
12.3% of residents in tract 19153004602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,426.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153004602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 83th, minority 58th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 19153004602 considered part of Fort Des Moines?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153004602 fall within Fort Des Moines (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153004602?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,017 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153004602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.99% of renter households, peaking at 22.8% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19153004602 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19153004602 compare to Des Moines overall?
Tract 19153004602 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
King Irving
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IA
Kirkwood Glen
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IA
19153000101
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IA
Mondamin Presidential
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IA
Sherman Hill
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IA
Drake Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IA
Capitol Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Prospect Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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