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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Somerset Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines

Tract 19153004702 · Polk County, IA · pop 2,810 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 19153004702 (the Somerset neighborhood of Des Moines, Iowa) comes in at 5.3/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 50% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

57% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,055 a month against an average household income of $39,913 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 76% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 33% Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units1,325
Renter share76.1%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate18.6%
Median income$39,913

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Somerset
Moderate
Within parent city
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#12 of 60 tracts In Des Moines
High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 112 tracts In Polk County
High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#91 of 896 tracts In Iowa
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Des Moines and the region

Centroid at 41.5192, -93.6111 · click any tract to drill in

Why Somerset scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
18.6% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,055 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5

How Somerset compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Somerset risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 004702Des Moines: 2.62.6Des Moinesparent cityCounty: 3.23.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,562Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 27.30%Avg annual filing rate
  • 29.8%Peak (2012)
  • 162Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 191530047022006: 77 filings (21.05/100 renter HHs)2007: 98 filings (26.79/100 renter HHs)2008: 121 filings (33.08/100 renter HHs)2009: 182 filings (49.76/100 renter HHs)2010: 201 filings (25.16/100 renter HHs)2011: 199 filings (26.39/100 renter HHs)2012: 225 filings (29.84/100 renter HHs)2013: 129 filings (17.11/100 renter HHs)2014: 168 filings (22.28/100 renter HHs)2015: 162 filings (21.49/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 110% over the past 10 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Somerset

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 4.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,562 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 27.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 29.8% of renter households in 2012.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 19153004702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153004702?

Census tract 19153004702 in the Somerset neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19153004702?

Median gross rent is $1,055/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19153004702?

18.6% of residents in tract 19153004702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,810.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19153004702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 89th, minority 59th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 19153004702 considered part of Somerset?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153004702 fall within Somerset (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153004702?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,562 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153004702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 27.30% of renter households, peaking at 29.8% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 19153004702 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 19153004702 compare to Des Moines overall?

Tract 19153004702 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines

Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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