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Census Tract · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21111000800 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 1,917

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 21111000800 (Louisville, Kentucky) comes in at 6.4/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 85th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

73% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 44% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $995 a month against an average household income of $41,356 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 38% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 10% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units922
Renter share37.6%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate32.1%
Median income$41,356

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Elevated
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#30 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
High
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#332 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Elevated
National
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#20,889 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2593, -85.8270 · click any tract to drill in

Why Louisville scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
32.1% poverty · this tract
8.0
Supply constraint
$995 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0

How Louisville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Louisville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 000800Louisville: 3.23.2Louisvilleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 706Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 18.25%Avg annual filing rate
  • 24.7%Peak (2014)
  • 64Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 211110008002002: 39 filings (15.79/100 renter HHs)2003: 32 filings (12.96/100 renter HHs)2004: 39 filings (15.79/100 renter HHs)2005: 36 filings (14.12/100 renter HHs)2006: 41 filings (16.08/100 renter HHs)2007: 66 filings (25.88/100 renter HHs)2008: 42 filings (16.47/100 renter HHs)2009: 54 filings (21.18/100 renter HHs)2010: 38 filings (13.67/100 renter HHs)2011: 60 filings (19.48/100 renter HHs)2012: 56 filings (18.18/100 renter HHs)2013: 63 filings (20.45/100 renter HHs)2014: 76 filings (24.68/100 renter HHs)2015: 64 filings (20.78/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 64% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Louisville

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111000800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111000800?

Census tract 21111000800 in Louisville scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111000800?

Median gross rent is $995/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111000800?

32.1% of residents in tract 21111000800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,917.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111000800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 85th, minority 92th, housing 35th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111000800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 706 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111000800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.25% of renter households, peaking at 24.7% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 21111000800 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111000800 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 21111000800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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