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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Russell Eviction Risk: Moderate , Louisville

Tract 21111001800 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 1,093 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

The Elevated-tier score of 6.6/10 for census tract 21111001800 reflects conditions in Russell in Louisville, Kentucky. It lands near the 89th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 66% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $838 a month while the average household earns $14,711 a year, roughly 68% of income at the averages. Renters make up 83% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 55% Stable renters 28% Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units498
Renter share82.5%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate69.3%
Median income$14,711

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 13 tracts In Russell
Moderate
Within parent city
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#25 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Elevated
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
High
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#332 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2460, -85.7928 · click any tract to drill in

Why Russell scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
69.3% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$838 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0

How Russell compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Russell risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 001800Louisville: 3.23.2Louisvilleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,027Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 17.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 25.9%Peak (2008)
  • 56Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 211110018002002: 82 filings (22.59/100 renter HHs)2003: 61 filings (16.80/100 renter HHs)2004: 105 filings (28.93/100 renter HHs)2005: 87 filings (21.01/100 renter HHs)2006: 68 filings (16.43/100 renter HHs)2007: 84 filings (20.29/100 renter HHs)2008: 107 filings (25.85/100 renter HHs)2009: 67 filings (16.18/100 renter HHs)2010: 60 filings (16.17/100 renter HHs)2011: 67 filings (14.73/100 renter HHs)2012: 62 filings (13.63/100 renter HHs)2013: 67 filings (14.73/100 renter HHs)2014: 54 filings (11.87/100 renter HHs)2015: 56 filings (12.31/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 32% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Russell. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Russell

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,027 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 18.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 25.9% of renter households in 2008.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111001800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111001800?

Census tract 21111001800 in the Russell neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111001800?

Median gross rent is $838/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111001800?

69.3% of residents in tract 21111001800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,093.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111001800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 90th, minority 97th, housing 40th.
Q5

Is tract 21111001800 considered part of Russell?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111001800 fall within Russell (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111001800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,027 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111001800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.97% of renter households, peaking at 25.9% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 21111001800 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111001800 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 21111001800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 9% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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