Within parent city
72
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally
Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 21111002800 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 2,118
In Louisville, census tract 21111002800 scores 6.4/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 85th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
49% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,044 a month while the average household earns $43,203 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units563
Renter share63.6%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate32.3%
Median income$43,203
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
75
th percentile
Elevated
National
75
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Louisville and the region
Centroid at 38.2270, -85.7853 · click any tract to drill in
Why Louisville scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
32.3% poverty · this tract
8.1
Supply constraint
$1,044 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0
How Louisville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 93%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 931Total filings over 14 yrs
- 20.84%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.2%Peak (2014)
- 82Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 49% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Louisville
What moves this score most is economic stress at 8.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 931 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 20.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 20.2% of renter households in 2014.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 21111002800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111002800?
Census tract 21111002800 in Louisville scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21111002800?
Median gross rent is $1,044/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21111002800?
32.3% of residents in tract 21111002800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,118.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21111002800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 62th, minority 90th, housing 94th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111002800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 931 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111002800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.84% of renter households, peaking at 20.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 21111002800 compare to Louisville overall?
Tract 21111002800 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7
Was tract 21111002800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Louisville
Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · KY
Wyandotte/Oakdale
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
Whiskey Row
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
21111003501
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
Whiskey Row
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
21111001400
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
21111001500
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
Russell
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
Whiskey Row
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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