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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Russell Eviction Risk: Moderate , Louisville

Tract 21111001700 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 1,999 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 21111001700 belongs to the Russell area of Louisville, Kentucky. It is home to 1,999 residents and scores 5.9/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 72nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

46% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,008 monthly, set against $52,188 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 28% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units626
Renter share52.4%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate20.4%
Median income$52,188

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 13 tracts In Russell
Very Low
Within parent city
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#48 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Moderate
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#66 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Elevated
Within state
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#599 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2397, -85.7944 · click any tract to drill in

Why Russell scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
20.4% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,008 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0

How Russell compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Russell risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 001700Louisville: 3.23.2Louisvilleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,012Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 19.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 25.8%Peak (2014)
  • 60Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 211110017002002: 76 filings (20.93/100 renter HHs)2003: 69 filings (19.01/100 renter HHs)2004: 46 filings (12.67/100 renter HHs)2005: 73 filings (21.66/100 renter HHs)2006: 65 filings (19.28/100 renter HHs)2007: 56 filings (16.61/100 renter HHs)2008: 59 filings (17.50/100 renter HHs)2009: 73 filings (21.66/100 renter HHs)2010: 91 filings (22.09/100 renter HHs)2011: 77 filings (19.49/100 renter HHs)2012: 85 filings (21.52/100 renter HHs)2013: 80 filings (20.25/100 renter HHs)2014: 102 filings (25.82/100 renter HHs)2015: 60 filings (15.19/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Russell. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Russell

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,012 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 19.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 25.8% of renter households in 2014.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111001700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111001700?

Census tract 21111001700 in the Russell neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111001700?

Median gross rent is $1,008/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111001700?

20.4% of residents in tract 21111001700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,999.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111001700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 88th, minority 95th, housing 40th.
Q5

Is tract 21111001700 considered part of Russell?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111001700 fall within Russell (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111001700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,012 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111001700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.55% of renter households, peaking at 25.8% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 21111001700 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111001700 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 21111001700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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