Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Russell Eviction Risk: Moderate , Louisville

Tract 21111002300 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 1,857 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 21111002300 covers part of the Russell area of Louisville, KY, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,857. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 26% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units848
Renter share53.9%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate38.8%
Median income$30,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 13 tracts In Russell
Elevated
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Very High
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#46 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2615, -85.7825 · click any tract to drill in

Why Russell scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
38.8% poverty · this tract
9.7
Supply constraint
$855 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0

How Russell compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Russell risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0023004.0Louisvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,230Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 15.50%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.3%Peak (2013)
  • 74Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 21111002300
Filings dropped 24% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Russell. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Russell

The dominant input is economic stress at 9.7/10. The poverty rate is 39%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.2/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $30,500 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. Cost burden runs 51% here against 42.9% across Jefferson County.

It sits 1.4 points above the Jefferson County average of 4.0. At $855 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Louisville commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,230 filings here across 14 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2013, when 17.3% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 15.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.4/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111002300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111002300?

Census tract 21111002300 in the Russell neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111002300?

Median gross rent is $855/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111002300?

38.8% of residents in tract 21111002300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,857.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111002300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 33th, minority 67th, housing 74th.
Q5

Is tract 21111002300 considered part of Russell?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111002300 fall within Russell (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111002300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,230 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111002300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.50% of renter households, peaking at 17.3% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 21111002300 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111002300 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 21111002300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 97% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related