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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Russell Eviction Risk: Moderate , Louisville

Tract 21111002300 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 1,857 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Here is how census tract 21111002300, in Russell in Louisville eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.5/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 1,857. It lands near the 87th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 51% of renter households, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $855 monthly, set against $30,500 in average yearly household income, roughly 34% of income at the averages. About 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 26% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units848
Renter share53.9%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate38.8%
Median income$30,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 13 tracts In Russell
Moderate
Within parent city
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 90 tracts In Louisville
High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#19 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Very High
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#264 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2615, -85.7825 · click any tract to drill in

Why Russell scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
38.8% poverty · this tract
9.7
Supply constraint
$855 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0

How Russell compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Russell risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 002300Louisville: 3.23.2Louisvilleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,230Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 15.50%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.3%Peak (2013)
  • 74Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 211110023002002: 98 filings (18.32/100 renter HHs)2003: 93 filings (17.38/100 renter HHs)2004: 94 filings (17.57/100 renter HHs)2005: 103 filings (19.32/100 renter HHs)2006: 84 filings (15.76/100 renter HHs)2007: 75 filings (14.07/100 renter HHs)2008: 80 filings (15.01/100 renter HHs)2009: 76 filings (14.26/100 renter HHs)2010: 78 filings (13.59/100 renter HHs)2011: 86 filings (13.74/100 renter HHs)2012: 74 filings (11.82/100 renter HHs)2013: 108 filings (17.25/100 renter HHs)2014: 107 filings (17.09/100 renter HHs)2015: 74 filings (11.82/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 24% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Russell. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Russell

What moves this score most is economic stress at 9.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 97% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111002300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111002300?

Census tract 21111002300 in the Russell neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111002300?

Median gross rent is $855/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111002300?

38.8% of residents in tract 21111002300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,857.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111002300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 33th, minority 67th, housing 74th.
Q5

Is tract 21111002300 considered part of Russell?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111002300 fall within Russell (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111002300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,230 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111002300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.50% of renter households, peaking at 17.3% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 21111002300 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111002300 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 21111002300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 97% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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