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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Russell Eviction Risk: Moderate , Louisville

Tract 21111002401 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 2,049 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Eviction risk in Russell in Louisville centers on tract 21111002401, which scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 2,049 residents. On the national scale it ranks #12,447 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 52% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $776 a month while the average household earns $30,115 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 75% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 36% Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units836
Renter share75.2%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate33.2%
Median income$30,115

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 13 tracts In Russell
Elevated
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 90 tracts In Louisville
High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#18 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Very High
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#264 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2543, -85.7924 · click any tract to drill in

Why Russell scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
33.2% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$776 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0

How Russell compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Russell risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 002401Louisville: 3.23.2Louisvilleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Russell. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Russell

What moves this score most is economic stress at 8.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 88% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111002401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111002401?

Census tract 21111002401 in the Russell neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111002401?

Median gross rent is $776/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111002401?

33.2% of residents in tract 21111002401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,049.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111002401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 63th, minority 92th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 21111002401 considered part of Russell?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111002401 fall within Russell (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 21111002401 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111002401 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 21111002401 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 88% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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