Russell Eviction Risk: Moderate , Louisville

26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. The poverty rate is 33%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 52% here against 42.9% across Jefferson County.

At $776 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Louisville commands. Against the Jefferson County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Louisville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.9/10.

Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.