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Census Tract · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21111012502 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 4,305

How risky is Louisville/Jefferson County metro government (balance) for landlords? Census tract 21111012502 scores $1/10, the Elevated tier. On the national scale it ranks #20,979 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 73% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 48% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $892 monthly, set against $54,688 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 8% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,727
Renter share30.6%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate33.0%
Median income$54,688

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#7 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Very High
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#43 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
High
Within state
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#433 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Elevated
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,926 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.1595, -85.8396 · click any tract to drill in

Why Louisville scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
33.0% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$892 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
3.0

How Louisville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Louisville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 012502Louisville: 2.42.4Louisvilleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,676Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 13.10%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.0%Peak (2014)
  • 130Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 211110125022002: 103 filings (13.24/100 renter HHs)2003: 117 filings (15.04/100 renter HHs)2004: 96 filings (12.34/100 renter HHs)2005: 114 filings (13.07/100 renter HHs)2006: 117 filings (13.42/100 renter HHs)2007: 110 filings (12.61/100 renter HHs)2008: 108 filings (12.38/100 renter HHs)2009: 101 filings (11.58/100 renter HHs)2010: 120 filings (12.10/100 renter HHs)2011: 129 filings (12.63/100 renter HHs)2012: 131 filings (12.83/100 renter HHs)2013: 137 filings (13.42/100 renter HHs)2014: 163 filings (15.96/100 renter HHs)2015: 130 filings (12.73/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 26% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Louisville

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 8.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk/Jefferson County metro government (balance), while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,676 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 13.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 16.0% of renter households in 2014.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111012502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111012502?

Census tract 21111012502 in Louisville scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111012502?

Median gross rent is $892/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111012502?

33.0% of residents in tract 21111012502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,305.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111012502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 77th, minority 51th, housing 75th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111012502?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,676 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111012502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.10% of renter households, peaking at 16.0% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 21111012502 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111012502 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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