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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally

Winchester Square Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Springfield

Tract 25013801700 · Hampden County, MA · pop 7,527 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

The Elevated-tier score of $1/10 for census tract 25013801700 reflects conditions in the Winchester Square Historic District area of Springfield, Massachusetts. It lands near the 95th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 59% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,261 a month while the average household earns $47,977 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. Renters make up 58% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 24% Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,841
Renter share58.2%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate19.7%
Median income$47,977

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 6 tracts In Winchester Square Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 37 tracts In Springfield
Moderate
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 104 tracts In Hampden County
Elevated
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#169 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 42.1093, -72.5530 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winchester Square Historic District scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
19.7% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,261 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
7.0

How Winchester Square Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winchester Square Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 801700Springfield: 6.76.7Springfieldparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Winchester Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winchester Square Historic District

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hampden County average of 6.6 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 16.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013801700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013801700?

Census tract 25013801700 in the Winchester Square Historic District neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25013801700?

Median gross rent is $1,261/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013801700?

19.7% of residents in tract 25013801700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,527.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013801700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 76th, minority 81th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 25013801700 considered part of Winchester Square Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013801700 fall within Winchester Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25013801700 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25013801700 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 25013801700 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Springfield at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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