Neighborhood · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally

Winchester Square Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Springfield

Tract 25013801402 · Hampden County, MA · pop 2,483 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

With a score of 7/10, tract 25013801402 in the Winchester Square Historic District area of Springfield, MA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 21% Owners 60%

Tract context

Occupied units881

Renter share40.4%

SVI overall0.91

Poverty rate14.9%

Median income$58,527

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 42.1250, -72.5447 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winchester Square Historic District scores 7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

14.9% poverty · this tract

3.7

Supply constraint

$972 rent vs county FMR

1.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

7.0

How Winchester Square Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

76%Socioeconomic
100%Household composition
84%Racial/ethnic minority
65%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Winchester Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

22.9%Housing insecurity
14.3%Utility-shutoff threat
27.7%Food insecurity
31.8%SNAP enrollment
14.0%Transit barriers
11.6%No health insurance
18.8%Frequent mental distress
39.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winchester Square Historic District

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.5/10. SNAP participation runs 31.8% against 15.2% nationally.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. Against the Hampden County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Food insecurity runs 27.7% against 17.8% nationally.

Average gross rent is $972, 15% below the Springfield average. On the high side, local political climate reads 7/10.

On the national scale it lands near the 85th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 9.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for about half of renters. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $58,527. 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013801402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013801402?

Census tract 25013801402 in the Winchester Square Historic District neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25013801402?

Median gross rent is $972/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013801402?

14.9% of residents in tract 25013801402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,483.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013801402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 100th, minority 84th, housing 65th.

Is tract 25013801402 considered part of Winchester Square Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013801402 fall within Winchester Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25013801402 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25013801402 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 25013801402 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.