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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally

Winchester Square Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield

Tract 25013801402 · Hampden County, MA · pop 2,483 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 25013801402 (Winchester Square Historic District in Springfield, Massachusetts) comes in at 6.7/10, the Elevated tier. On the national scale it ranks #8,120 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 48% of renter households, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $972 monthly, set against $58,527 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 40% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 21% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units881
Renter share40.4%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate14.9%
Median income$58,527

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 6 tracts In Winchester Square Historic District
Low
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#25 of 37 tracts In Springfield
Low
Within county
62 th percentile
Rank, 62nd percentileLowHigh
#40 of 104 tracts In Hampden County
Elevated
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#283 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 42.1250, -72.5447 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winchester Square Historic District scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Springfield
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
14.9% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$972 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Springfield
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Springfield
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Springfield
7.0

How Winchester Square Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winchester Square Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 801402Springfield: 6.76.7Springfieldparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Winchester Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winchester Square Historic District

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hampden County average of 6.6 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 22.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013801402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013801402?

Census tract 25013801402 in the Winchester Square Historic District neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25013801402?

Median gross rent is $972/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013801402?

14.9% of residents in tract 25013801402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,483.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013801402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 100th, minority 84th, housing 65th.
Q5

Is tract 25013801402 considered part of Winchester Square Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013801402 fall within Winchester Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25013801402 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25013801402 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 25013801402 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Springfield at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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