Winchester Square Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Springfield

Against Hampden County at 46.5%, roughly two in three of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is economic stress at 9.5/10. Housing insecurity runs 34.7% against 14.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 38%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 2.1 points above the Hampden County average of 5.8.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $42,384, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Disability prevalence runs 45.1% against 31.5% nationally.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.6/10. That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.