Neighborhood · Ranked #5,690 of 84,120 nationally

Winchester Square Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Springfield

Tract 25013801800 · Hampden County, MA · pop 3,802 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 25013801800 belongs to the Winchester Square Historic District neighborhood of Springfield, Massachusetts. It is home to 3,802 residents and scores 7.5/10, an elevated reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 99% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 65% of renter households, a severe level, and 43% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,136 a month against an average household income of $42,384 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 67% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.8

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 24% Owners 32%

Tract context

Occupied units1,205

Renter share67.5%

SVI overall0.98

Poverty rate37.9%

Median income$42,384

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 42.1056, -72.5655 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winchester Square Historic District scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

37.9% poverty · this tract

9.5

Supply constraint

$1,136 rent vs county FMR

2.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

7.0

How Winchester Square Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

92%Socioeconomic
98%Household composition
89%Racial/ethnic minority
91%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Winchester Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

34.7%Housing insecurity
23.6%Utility-shutoff threat
43.3%Food insecurity
50.6%SNAP enrollment
23.0%Transit barriers
17.3%No health insurance
24.1%Frequent mental distress
45.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winchester Square Historic District

What moves this score most is economic stress at 9.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hampden County average of 6.6 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 34.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 23.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013801800

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013801800?

Census tract 25013801800 in the Winchester Square Historic District neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25013801800?

Median gross rent is $1,136/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013801800?

37.9% of residents in tract 25013801800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,802.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013801800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 98th, minority 89th, housing 91th.

Is tract 25013801800 considered part of Winchester Square Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013801800 fall within Winchester Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25013801800 struggle to pay rent?

About 34.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 23.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25013801800 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 25013801800 scores 6.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Springfield at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.