Neighborhood · Springfield, MA

Winchester Square Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated

6 census tracts · pop 26,604 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.2/10 · range 4.5–7

Winchester Square Historic District is a hispanic-black neighborhood in Springfield with 6 census tracts and a population of 26,604 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 55% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 30% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,146/month sits 0% higher than the Springfield citywide average ($1,144).

Risk score

6.2

Elevated

6 tracts · population-weighted

Winchester Square Historic District vs Springfield How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

55.0% +56%

Springfield: 35.3%

Average gross rent

$1,146 +0%

Springfield: $1,144

Average HH income

$49,761 -3%

Springfield: $51,339

Poverty rate

25.8% +2%

Springfield: 25.3%

Renter share

52.2% +4%

Springfield: 50.4%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Winchester Square Historic District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 4.5–7

Why Winchester Square Historic District scores 6.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts

6.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Rent control risk

55% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

52% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Economic stress

25.8% below poverty line · Range 2.4–10.0 across tracts

6.4

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–7.0 across tracts

2.9

Risk score comparison

Winchester Square Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Winchester Square Historic District?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 2.5 points from 4.5 to 7. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

7.0 6.9 6.8 6.0 5.4 4.5

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

6 tracts in Winchester Square Historic District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
25013801300	7	5,288	58%	$734
25013801401	6.9	3,846	66%	$999
25013801800	6.8	3,802	65%	$1,136
25013801700	6	7,527	59%	$1,261
25013801402	5.4	2,483	48%	$972
25013802400	4.5	3,658	26%	$1,789

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 86

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 80%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 87%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 82%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 73%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Winchester Square Historic District

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

27.7%Housing insecurity
18.9%Utility shutoff threat
34.2%Food insecurity
40.6%SNAP enrollment
12.7%No health insurance
41.3%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Winchester Square Historic District

What is the eviction-risk score for Winchester Square Historic District?

Winchester Square Historic District scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Winchester Square Historic District compare to Springfield overall?

Winchester Square Historic District scores 0.5 points lower than Springfield overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,146 vs $1,144.

What is the average rent in Winchester Square Historic District?

Average gross rent in Winchester Square Historic District is $1,146/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Winchester Square Historic District residents are renters?

52% of Winchester Square Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Springfield). The neighborhood has 26,604 residents.

Is Winchester Square Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?

Winchester Square Historic District sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Winchester Square Historic District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Winchester Square Historic District is census tract 25013801300 (score 7/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.5 to 7, a spread of 2.5 points.

How safe is Winchester Square Historic District for landlords?

Winchester Square Historic District carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.2/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Springfield as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Winchester Square Historic District?

Winchester Square Historic District has 27,214 residents (Hispanic-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (39.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (29%), White (non-Hispanic) (24.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Winchester Square Historic District

5.8 Pine Point 2 tracts · pop 9,179 6.9 Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District 6 tracts · pop 26,323 4.8 Sixteen Acres 5 tracts · pop 23,528 6 Upper Worthington Historic District 3 tracts · pop 14,849 5.3 East Springfield 2 tracts · pop 7,503 6.3 Downtown Springfield Railroad District 4 tracts · pop 9,847

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Springfield

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Winchester Square Historic District.

6.1 Downtown Springfield Railroad District 4 tracts · pop 9,847 6.4 Forest Park 1 tracts · pop 7,081 6 Upper Worthington Historic District 3 tracts · pop 14,849 6.8 Ames Hill-Crescent Hill Historic District 6 tracts · pop 26,323 5.6 Pine Point 2 tracts · pop 9,179 7 Quadrangle-Mattoon Street Historic District 1 tracts · pop 2,390

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