Neighborhood · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally
Night Caps Corner Eviction Risk: Lower , Newton
Tract 25017374600 ·
Middlesex County, MA · pop 5,360 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 25017374600 (the Night Caps Corner neighborhood of Newton, Massachusetts) comes in at 4.4/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 20th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 27% of renter households, a moderate level, and 3% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,106 a month while the average household earns $167,381 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%Stable renters 26%Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,126
Renter share35.7%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate1.8%
Median income$167,381
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Night Caps Corner
Very Low
Within parent city
28th percentile
#14 of 19 tracts In Newton
Low
Within county
5th percentile
#338 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Very Low
Within state
5th percentile
#1,536 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newton and the region
Centroid at 42.3559, -71.2298 · click any tract to drill in
Why Night Caps Corner scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newton
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
1.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,106 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newton
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newton
6.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newton
3.9
How Night Caps Corner compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
5%Socioeconomic
43%Household composition
40%Racial/ethnic minority
10%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
13%Grade B
85%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
19Total filings over 5 yrs
0.74%Avg annual filing rate
1.3%Peak (2013)
5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2012 to 2016
Filings climbed 67% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
0Total filings 2020-21
0.0Avg monthly (observed)
0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Night Caps Corner. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
6.3%Housing insecurity
3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
5.9%Food insecurity
6.0%SNAP enrollment
4.5%Transit barriers
2.6%No health insurance
12.9%Frequent mental distress
19.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Night Caps Corner
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.00x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017374600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017374600?
Census tract 25017374600 in the Night Caps Corner neighborhood scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017374600?
Median gross rent is $2,106/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017374600?
1.8% of residents in tract 25017374600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,360.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017374600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 43th, minority 40th, housing 10th.
Q5
Is tract 25017374600 considered part of Night Caps Corner?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017374600 fall within Night Caps Corner (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017374600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 19 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017374600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.74% of renter households, peaking at 1.3% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25017374600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25017374600 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25017374600 compare to Newton overall?
Tract 25017374600 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Newton at 5.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25017374600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newton
Top eight tracts in Newton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.