Within neighborhood
20
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally
Church Green Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston
Tract 25025061203 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 2,314 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 25025061203 sits in the Church Green area of Boston eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.7/10. 19% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Suffolk County average of 47.0%.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,355
Renter share32.9%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate3.5%
Median income$250,001
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
22
th percentile
Low
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.3416, -71.0566 · click any tract to drill in
Why Church Green scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
3.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,454 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0
How Church Green compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 3%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 45%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 15Total filings 2020-21
- 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.97×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Church Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.0%Food insecurity
- 5.9%SNAP enrollment
- 4.7%Transit barriers
- 2.8%No health insurance
- 14.0%Frequent mental distress
- 16.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Church Green
Average gross rent is $3,454, 61% above the Boston average. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. The voucher gap is 21.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Food insecurity runs 6.0% against 17.8% nationally.
Against the Suffolk County average of 7.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. The severe-burden share is 8%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Housing insecurity runs 6.8% against 14.2% nationally. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Boston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 83rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025061203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025061203?
Census tract 25025061203 in the Church Green neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25025061203?
Median gross rent is $3,454/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025061203?
3.5% of residents in tract 25025061203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,314.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025061203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 4th, minority 37th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 25025061203 considered part of Church Green?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025061203 fall within Church Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 25025061203 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.97× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25025061203 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25025061203 compare to Boston overall?
Tract 25025061203 scores 6.7/10, lower than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 25025061203 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 45% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Audubon Circle
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Church Green
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Lower Mills
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Mount Bowdoin
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Brookline Village
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Grove Hall
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
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