Church Green Eviction Risk: High , Boston
Tract 25025070402 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 3,005 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 9.5/10, tract 25025070402 in the Church Green area of Boston, MA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,005. This is renter territory: 89% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.3455, -71.0652 · click any tract to drill in
Why Church Green scores 9.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Church Green compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 93%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 85Total filings over 5 yrs
- 2.06%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.3%Peak (2016)
- 30Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 164Total filings 2020-21
- 3.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.39×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Church Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.1%Housing insecurity
- 9.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.0%Food insecurity
- 22.7%SNAP enrollment
- 11.4%Transit barriers
- 6.2%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 26.5%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Church Green
Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income of $75,091, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10.
The poverty rate is 33%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.
It sits 1.6 points above the Suffolk County average of 7.9. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.3/10. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
At $2,512 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Boston commands. The filing record is not thin: 85 evictions over 5 years of observation.
SNAP participation runs 22.7% against 15.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2016 at 2.3% of renter households.
This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Boston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 97th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 25025070402
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025070402?
What is the average rent in tract 25025070402?
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025070402?
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025070402?
Is tract 25025070402 considered part of Church Green?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025070402?
Did eviction filings in tract 25025070402 drop during COVID?
What share of households in tract 25025070402 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 25025070402 compare to Boston overall?
Was tract 25025070402 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.