Within neighborhood
80
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #5,198 of 84,120 nationally
Church Green Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston
Tract 25025070402 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 3,005 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 25025070402 runs through the Church Green area of Boston. With 3,005 residents, it scores 7.5/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 99% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 49% of renter households, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,512 a month while the average household earns $75,091 a year, roughly 40% of income at the averages. Renters make up 89% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44%
Stable renters 46%
Owners 10%
Tract context
Occupied units2,039
Renter share89.3%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate33.3%
Median income$75,091
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
79
th percentile
High
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.3455, -71.0652 · click any tract to drill in
Why Church Green scores 6.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
33.3% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$2,512 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0
How Church Green compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 93%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 85Total filings over 5 yrs
- 2.06%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.3%Peak (2016)
- 30Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 500% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 164Total filings 2020-21
- 3.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.39×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Church Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.1%Housing insecurity
- 9.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.0%Food insecurity
- 22.7%SNAP enrollment
- 11.4%Transit barriers
- 6.2%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 26.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Church Green
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Boston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Suffolk County average of 6.7 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 85 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 2.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.3% of renter households in 2016.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 93% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025070402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025070402?
Census tract 25025070402 in the Church Green neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25025070402?
Median gross rent is $2,512/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025070402?
33.3% of residents in tract 25025070402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,005.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025070402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 39th, minority 72th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 25025070402 considered part of Church Green?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025070402 fall within Church Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025070402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 85 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025070402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.06% of renter households, peaking at 2.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25025070402 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.39× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25025070402 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25025070402 compare to Boston overall?
Tract 25025070402 scores 6.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Boston at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25025070402 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 93% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
7.9
/ 10 · High
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Packard's Corner
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Dorchester Heights
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Mount Bowdoin
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Pill Hill
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
7.6
/ 10 · High
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