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Neighborhood · Ranked #2,657 of 84,120 nationally

Church Green Eviction Risk: High , Boston

Tract 25025070402 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 3,005 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 9.5/10, tract 25025070402 in the Church Green area of Boston, MA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,005. This is renter territory: 89% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Risk score
9.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 46% Owners 10%
Tract context
Occupied units2,039
Renter share89.3%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate33.3%
Median income$75,091

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6 tracts In Church Green
High
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 206 tracts In Boston
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 234 tracts In Suffolk County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Boston and the region

Centroid at 42.3455, -71.0652 · click any tract to drill in

Why Church Green scores 9.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
33.3% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$2,512 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0

How Church Green compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Church Green risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.5This tracttract 0704028.1Bostonparent city7.9Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 85Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 2.06%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.3%Peak (2016)
  • 30Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 25025070402
Filings climbed 500% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 164Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.39×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Church Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Church Green

Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income of $75,091, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10.

The poverty rate is 33%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.

It sits 1.6 points above the Suffolk County average of 7.9. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.3/10. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

At $2,512 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Boston commands. The filing record is not thin: 85 evictions over 5 years of observation.

SNAP participation runs 22.7% against 15.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2016 at 2.3% of renter households.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Boston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 97th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25025070402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025070402?

Census tract 25025070402 in the Church Green neighborhood scores 9.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25025070402?

Median gross rent is $2,512/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25025070402?

33.3% of residents in tract 25025070402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,005.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25025070402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 39th, minority 72th, housing 92th.
Q5

Is tract 25025070402 considered part of Church Green?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025070402 fall within Church Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025070402?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 85 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025070402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.06% of renter households, peaking at 2.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 25025070402 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.39× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 25025070402 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 25025070402 compare to Boston overall?

Tract 25025070402 scores 9.5/10, higher than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10

Was tract 25025070402 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 93% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Boston

Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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