Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Fay Street Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Worcester

Tract 25027732203 · Worcester County, MA · pop 3,025 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 25027732203 sits in the Fay Street Historic District area of Worcester eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. Population here is 3,025. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 40% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,351
Renter share72.6%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate18.5%
Median income$74,157

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Fay Street Historic District
Very Low
Within parent city
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#13 of 46 tracts In Worcester
Elevated
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#18 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
Very High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#213 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Worcester and the region

Centroid at 42.2626, -71.7826 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fay Street Historic District scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
18.5% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,671 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Worcester
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Worcester
7.0

How Fay Street Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fay Street Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.08.0This tracttract 732203Worcester: 6.66.6Worcesterparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.26.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 38Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 5.22%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.2%Peak (2015)
  • 38Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fay Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fay Street Historic District

Against the Worcester County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.2 points. 73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 7/10.

The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 7/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 38 filings here across 1 tracked years.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7/10. Average gross rent is $1,671, 12% above the Worcester average.

Filings peaked in 2015 at 5.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027732203

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027732203?

Census tract 25027732203 in the Fay Street Historic District neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027732203?

Median gross rent is $1,671/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027732203?

18.5% of residents in tract 25027732203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,025.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027732203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 85th, minority 63th, housing 74th.
Q5

Is tract 25027732203 considered part of Fay Street Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027732203 fall within Fay Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027732203?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 38 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027732203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.22% of renter households, peaking at 5.2% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25027732203 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25027732203 compare to Worcester overall?

Tract 25027732203 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Worcester at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Worcester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Worcester

Top eight tracts in Worcester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related