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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Webster Square Eviction Risk: High , Worcester

Tract 25027731002 · Worcester County, MA · pop 6,642 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 25027731002 sits in the Webster Square area of Worcester eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. Against Worcester County at 44.4%, 65% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 18% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units2,778
Renter share51.4%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate23.6%
Median income$58,768

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Webster Square
Very High
Within parent city
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#23 of 46 tracts In Worcester
Moderate
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 191 tracts In Worcester County
High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#213 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Worcester and the region

Centroid at 42.2493, -71.8463 · click any tract to drill in

Why Webster Square scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
23.6% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$873 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Worcester
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Worcester
7.0

How Webster Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Webster Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.08.0This tracttract 731002Worcester: 6.66.6Worcesterparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.26.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 69Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 5.51%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.5%Peak (2015)
  • 69Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Webster Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Webster Square

35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Average gross rent is $873, 41% below the Worcester average.

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. Against the Worcester County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.2 points.

The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. SNAP participation runs 27.1% against 15.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 69 filings here across 1 tracked years. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 7/10.

Filings peaked in 2015 at 5.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.5% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 9.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $58,768, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 25027731002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027731002?

Census tract 25027731002 in the Webster Square neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25027731002?

Median gross rent is $873/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25027731002?

23.6% of residents in tract 25027731002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,642.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25027731002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 97th, minority 67th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 25027731002 considered part of Webster Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027731002 fall within Webster Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027731002?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 69 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027731002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.51% of renter households, peaking at 5.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25027731002 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25027731002 compare to Worcester overall?

Tract 25027731002 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Worcester at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Worcester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Worcester

Top eight tracts in Worcester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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