Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally
Webster Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , Worcester
Tract 25027731204 · Worcester County, MA · pop 2,490 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 25027731204 covers Webster Square in Worcester, home to 2,490 residents. For landlords it grades $1/10, an elevated reading. That is riskier than roughly 94% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,398 a month against an average household income of $50,662 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 78% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units884
Renter share77.7%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate28.2%
Median income$50,662
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Worcester and the region
Centroid at 42.2450, -71.8264 · click any tract to drill in
Why Webster Square scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
28.2% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$1,398 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Worcester
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Worcester
7.0
How Webster Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 48Total filings over 1 yrs
- 8.04%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.0%Peak (2015)
- 48Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Webster Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.5%Housing insecurity
- 17.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.6%Food insecurity
- 38.7%SNAP enrollment
- 17.7%Transit barriers
- 14.1%No health insurance
- 21.2%Frequent mental distress
- 37.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Webster Square
What moves this score most is economic stress at 7.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Worcester eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Worcester County average of 6.0 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 48 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 8.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.0% of renter households in 2015.
In CDC survey modeling, about 25.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 25027731204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027731204?
Census tract 25027731204 in the Webster Square neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25027731204?
Median gross rent is $1,398/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25027731204?
28.2% of residents in tract 25027731204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,490.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25027731204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 81th, minority 76th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 25027731204 considered part of Webster Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027731204 fall within Webster Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25027731204?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 48 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25027731204 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.04% of renter households, peaking at 8.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25027731204 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25027731204 compare to Worcester overall?
Tract 25027731204 scores 6.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Worcester at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Worcester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Worcester
Top eight tracts in Worcester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Beaver Street Historic District
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Crown Hill
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Lincoln Square
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Morningdale
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Piedmont
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Elm Park
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Main South
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Elm Park
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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