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Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Camden Ridge Twins Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chaska

Tract 27019090902 · Carver County, MN · pop 2,454 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 4.1/10, tract 27019090902 in the Camden Ridge Twins area of Chaska, MN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,454. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 15% Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units886
Renter share25.1%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate1.3%
Median income$105,625

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Camden Ridge Twins
Very High
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Chaska
Elevated
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#8 of 25 tracts In Carver County
Elevated
Within state
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#732 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chaska and the region

Centroid at 44.8308, -93.5875 · click any tract to drill in

Why Camden Ridge Twins scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chaska
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
1.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,016 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chaska
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chaska
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chaska
3.9

How Camden Ridge Twins compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Camden Ridge Twins risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.1This tracttract 0909024.0Chaskaparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 3

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Camden Ridge Twins. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Camden Ridge Twins

At $2,016 a month, rents run 30% over what the rest of Chaska commands. The voucher gap is 19.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Food insecurity runs 8.3% against 17.8% nationally.

On the high side, supply constraint reads 7/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 39% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

It tracks the Carver County average of 3.9 closely. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $105,625. 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 27019090902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27019090902?

Census tract 27019090902 in the Camden Ridge Twins neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27019090902?

Median gross rent is $2,016/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27019090902?

1.3% of residents in tract 27019090902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,454.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27019090902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 7th, minority 4th, housing 9th.
Q5

Is tract 27019090902 considered part of Camden Ridge Twins?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27019090902 fall within Camden Ridge Twins (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 27019090902 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 27019090902 compare to Chaska overall?

Tract 27019090902 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Chaska at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chaska eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chaska

Top eight tracts in Chaska ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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