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Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Burnsville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 27037060748 · Dakota County, MN · pop 3,792

27037060748 is a census tract in Burnsville, MN. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,792 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.6/10.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 10% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,409
Renter share22.6%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate6.3%
Median income$83,244

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#9 of 15 tracts In Burnsville
Moderate
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 106 tracts In Dakota County
High
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#392 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Elevated
National
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#29,336 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Burnsville and the region

Centroid at 44.7999, -93.2676 · click any tract to drill in

Why Burnsville scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Burnsville
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
6.3% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,291 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burnsville
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burnsville
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burnsville
6.0

How Burnsville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Burnsville risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 0607484.6Burnsvilleparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 52

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 39Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 1.98%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.7%Peak (2011)
  • 7Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 27037060748
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Burnsville

Cost burden runs 54% here against 45.6% across Dakota County. Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.7/10. Against the Dakota County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 39 evictions over 5 years of observation. At $1,291 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Burnsville commands.

SNAP participation runs 7.1% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.6% against 17.8% nationally. Filings peaked in 2011 at 2.7% of renter households.

In a typical year about 2.0% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 27037060748

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060748?

Census tract 27037060748 in Burnsville scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27037060748?

Median gross rent is $1,291/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060748?

6.3% of residents in tract 27037060748 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,792.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060748?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 73th, minority 44th, housing 57th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060748?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 39 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060748 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.98% of renter households, peaking at 2.7% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 27037060748 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 27037060748 compare to Burnsville overall?

Tract 27037060748 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Burnsville at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burnsville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Burnsville

Top eight tracts in Burnsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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