Census Tract · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Burnsville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27037060753 ·
Dakota County, MN · pop 2,486
Tract 27037060753 sits in Burnsville eviction risk, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. Population here is 2,486. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.1/10.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%Stable renters 30%Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,164
Renter share67.2%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$71,411
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50th percentile
#8 of 15 tracts In Burnsville
Moderate
Within county
86th percentile
#16 of 106 tracts In Dakota County
High
Within state
76th percentile
#366 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
High
National
67th percentile
#28,095 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Burnsville and the region
Centroid at 44.7382, -93.2712 · click any tract to drill in
Why Burnsville scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Burnsville
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,685 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burnsville
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burnsville
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burnsville
6.0
How Burnsville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.9%Housing insecurity
6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
12.9%Food insecurity
8.7%SNAP enrollment
7.7%Transit barriers
8.9%No health insurance
15.5%Frequent mental distress
26.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Burnsville
Cost burden runs 56% here against 45.6% across Dakota County. This is renter territory: 67% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
It sits 1.1 points above the Dakota County average of 4.2. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.2/10. 9% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.1/10. At $1,685 a month, rents run 11% over what the rest of Burnsville commands.
That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $71,411.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060753
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060753?
Census tract 27037060753 in Burnsville scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060753?
Median gross rent is $1,685/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060753?
4.2% of residents in tract 27037060753 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,486.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060753?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 45th, minority 64th, housing 79th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 27037060753 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 27037060753 compare to Burnsville overall?
Tract 27037060753 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Burnsville at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burnsville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Burnsville
Top eight tracts in Burnsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.