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Census Tract · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Lakeville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 27037060830 · Dakota County, MN · pop 3,149

Census tract 27037060830 covers part of Lakeville, MN, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,149 residents. about a quarter of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Dakota County average of 45.6%.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 12% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,278
Renter share16.0%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$100,429

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 14 tracts In Lakeville
Very High
Within county
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#51 of 106 tracts In Dakota County
Moderate
Within state
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#691 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Moderate
National
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#45,786 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lakeville and the region

Centroid at 44.7047, -93.2073 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lakeville scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lakeville
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,601 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeville
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeville
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeville
4.9

How Lakeville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lakeville risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.2This tracttract 0608304.0Lakevilleparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lakeville

26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.5/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.3/10. SNAP participation runs 7.4% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.6% against 17.8% nationally.

At $1,601 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Lakeville commands. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Dakota County average of 4.2 closely.

Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $100,429.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 27037060830

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060830?

Census tract 27037060830 in Lakeville scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27037060830?

Median gross rent is $1,601/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060830?

6.0% of residents in tract 27037060830 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,149.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060830?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 52th, minority 42th, housing 11th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 27037060830 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 27037060830 compare to Lakeville overall?

Tract 27037060830 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Lakeville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lakeville

Top eight tracts in Lakeville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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