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Census Tract · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Lakeville Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 27037060835 · Dakota County, MN · pop 5,682

27037060835 is a census tract in Lakeville, MN. It scores 3.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,682. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 1% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,832
Renter share8.2%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$146,667

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 14 tracts In Lakeville
Elevated
Within county
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#87 of 106 tracts In Dakota County
Very Low
Within state
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#1,127 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Low
National
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#63,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lakeville and the region

Centroid at 44.6401, -93.2865 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lakeville scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lakeville
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,146 rent vs county FMR
7.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeville
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeville
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeville
4.9

How Lakeville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lakeville risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.2This tracttract 0608354.0Lakevilleparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lakeville

Against Dakota County at 45.6%, 85% of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.3/10. The voucher gap is 27.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7.7/10. Average gross rent is $2,146, 19% above the Lakeville average. Food insecurity runs 7.6% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 5.0% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 1.0 points below the Dakota County average of 4.2.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.3/10. On the national scale it lands near the 25th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 1.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $146,667, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.3 points cooler.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 27037060835

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060835?

Census tract 27037060835 in Lakeville scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27037060835?

Median gross rent is $2,146/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 85% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060835?

5.3% of residents in tract 27037060835 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,682.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060835?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 29th, minority 18th, housing 5th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 27037060835 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 27037060835 compare to Lakeville overall?

Tract 27037060835 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Lakeville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lakeville

Top eight tracts in Lakeville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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