Census Tract · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

Duluth Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 27137002900 · St. Louis County, MN · pop 1,464

With a score of 5.2/10, tract 27137002900 in Duluth ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 1,464 residents. That is riskier than about 46% of US census tracts.

About 53% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,038 monthly, set against $58,875 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 6% of occupied homes.

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 3% Owners 94%

Tract context

Occupied units777

Renter share6.3%

SVI overall0.22

Poverty rate9.7%

Median income$58,875

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Duluth and the region

Centroid at 46.7428, -92.2047 · click any tract to drill in

Why Duluth scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Duluth

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.8

State political climate

Minnesota legislature & governorship

4.3

Economic stress

9.7% poverty · this tract

2.4

Supply constraint

$1,038 rent vs county FMR

4.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Duluth

3.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Duluth

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Duluth

5.0

How Duluth compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

32%Socioeconomic
10%Household composition
0%Racial/ethnic minority
52%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.1%Housing insecurity
5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
10.3%Food insecurity
7.8%SNAP enrollment
6.9%Transit barriers
6.1%No health insurance
15.9%Frequent mental distress
31.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Duluth

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Duluth eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the St. Louis County average of 4.9 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27137002900

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27137002900?

Census tract 27137002900 in Duluth scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 27137002900?

Median gross rent is $1,038/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 27137002900?

9.7% of residents in tract 27137002900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,464.

How socially vulnerable is tract 27137002900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 10th, minority 0th, housing 52th.

What share of households in tract 27137002900 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 27137002900 compare to Duluth overall?

Tract 27137002900 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Duluth at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Duluth eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Duluth

Top eight tracts in Duluth ranked by composite eviction-risk score.