Phelps Grove/University Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Springfield
Tract 29077000200 · Greene County, MO · pop 5,823 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 5.6/10, tract 29077000200 in Phelps Grove/University Heights in Springfield ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 5,823 residents. On the national scale it ranks #33,177 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
72% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 53% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $821 monthly, set against $18,750 in average yearly household income, roughly 53% of income at the averages. Renters make up 99% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Springfield and the region
Centroid at 37.2004, -93.2831 · click any tract to drill in
Why Phelps Grove/University Heights scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Phelps Grove/University Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 22%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 1%Grade B
- 85%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 310Total filings over 9 yrs
- 4.67%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.2%Peak (2017)
- 43Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Phelps Grove/University Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.9%Housing insecurity
- 19.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 36.4%Food insecurity
- 32.8%SNAP enrollment
- 26.1%Transit barriers
- 12.4%No health insurance
- 33.1%Frequent mental distress
- 49.8%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Phelps Grove/University Heights
The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Greene County average of 4.7 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 22.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 19.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 29077000200
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29077000200?
What is the average rent in tract 29077000200?
What is the poverty rate in tract 29077000200?
How socially vulnerable is tract 29077000200?
Is tract 29077000200 considered part of Phelps Grove/University Heights?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29077000200?
What share of households in tract 29077000200 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 29077000200 compare to Springfield overall?
Was tract 29077000200 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Springfield
Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.