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Census Tract · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally

Castle Point Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 29189210501 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 3,320 · 26% of tract blocks fall in Castle Point

29189210501 is a census tract in Castle Point, MO. It scores 5.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,320. 52% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 12% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units985
Renter share37.0%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate25.8%
Median income$41,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Castle Point
Very High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#19 of 236 tracts In St. Louis County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 1,654 tracts In Missouri
Very High
National
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#21,564 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Castle Point and the region

Centroid at 38.7642, -90.2488 · click any tract to drill in

Why Castle Point scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Castle Point
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
25.8% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$1,280 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Castle Point
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Castle Point
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Castle Point
9.5

How Castle Point compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Castle Point risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.7This tracttract 2105014.3Castle Pointparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 398Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 16.13%Avg annual filing rate
  • 23.3%Peak (2010)
  • 47Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 29189210501
Filings climbed 47% over the past 8 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 380Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.14×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Castle Point

Cost burden runs 67% here against 42.0% across St. Louis County. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 9.5/10.

SNAP participation runs 36.1% against 15.2% nationally. Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $41,750, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Disability prevalence runs 46.7% against 31.5% nationally. Against the St. Louis County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

At $1,280 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Castle Point commands. Court records carry 398 eviction filings across 8 observed years.

Filings peaked in 2010 at 23.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 16.1% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 74th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 29189210501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189210501?

Census tract 29189210501 in Castle Point scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 29189210501?

Median gross rent is $1,280/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 29189210501?

25.8% of residents in tract 29189210501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,320.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 29189210501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 61th, minority 97th, housing 41th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189210501?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 398 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189210501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.13% of renter households, peaking at 23.3% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 29189210501 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.14× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 29189210501 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 29189210501 compare to Castle Point overall?

Tract 29189210501 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Castle Point at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Castle Point; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Castle Point

Top eight tracts in Castle Point ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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