Black Jack Eviction Risk: Moderate

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10.

The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 0.8 points above the St. Louis County average of 4.0. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the MO average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Model confidence here is 60%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.