Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Skinker DeBaliviere Eviction Risk: Moderate , University City
Tract 29189216102 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 3,180 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 29189216102 in the Skinker DeBaliviere area of University City, MO reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,180. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units1,250
Renter share69.6%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate25.4%
Median income$49,421
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across University City and the region
Centroid at 38.6560, -90.3036 · click any tract to drill in
Why Skinker DeBaliviere scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from University City
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
25.4% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$1,100 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from University City
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University City
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from University City
2.1
How Skinker DeBaliviere compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 51%Grade A
- 48%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 79Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.28×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.8%Housing insecurity
- 11.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.9%Food insecurity
- 14.3%SNAP enrollment
- 11.8%Transit barriers
- 7.8%No health insurance
- 19.4%Frequent mental distress
- 32.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Skinker DeBaliviere
Cost burden runs 65% here against 42.0% across St. Louis County. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.5/10.
Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. This is renter territory: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.8/10. The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Average gross rent is $1,100, 17% below the University City average. It sits 0.8 points above the St. Louis County average of 4.0. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 4.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MO average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189216102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189216102?
Census tract 29189216102 in the Skinker DeBaliviere neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189216102?
Median gross rent is $1,100/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189216102?
25.4% of residents in tract 29189216102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,180.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189216102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 2th, minority 68th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 29189216102 considered part of Skinker DeBaliviere?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29189216102 fall within Skinker DeBaliviere (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189216102 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.28× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189216102 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189216102 compare to University City overall?
Tract 29189216102 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of University City at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29189216102 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in University City
Top eight tracts in University City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
29189215700
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
29189215802
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
29189215803
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
3
/ 10 · Low
Related
Explore the geography around tract 29189216102
Parent city ↑
University City
3.4 / 10
Parent county ↑
St. Louis County
Parent state ↑
Missouri
Sibling tract →
Varsity neighborhood
4.8 / 10
Sibling tract →
Varsity neighborhood
4.8 / 10
Sibling tract →
Tract 29189215700
4.7 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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