Within neighborhood
75
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Varsity neighborhood Eviction Risk: Moderate , University City
Tract 29189216101 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 2,804 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 29189216101 covers part of the Varsity neighborhood area of University City, MO, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,804 residents. Severe burden reaches 37%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units1,339
Renter share74.5%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate40.4%
Median income$34,761
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across University City and the region
Centroid at 38.6578, -90.3099 · click any tract to drill in
Why Varsity neighborhood scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from University City
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
40.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,205 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from University City
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University City
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from University City
2.1
How Varsity neighborhood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 69%Grade A
- 21%Grade B
- 10%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 115Total filings 2020-21
- 1.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.71×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Varsity neighborhood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.6%Housing insecurity
- 10.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.4%Food insecurity
- 12.5%SNAP enrollment
- 10.9%Transit barriers
- 7.5%No health insurance
- 18.6%Frequent mental distress
- 33.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Varsity neighborhood
Against St. Louis County at 42.0%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 40%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Annualized rent equals 42% of average household income of $34,761, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Against the St. Louis County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.
Average gross rent is $1,205, 9% below the University City average. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 5.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MO average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189216101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189216101?
Census tract 29189216101 in the Varsity neighborhood neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189216101?
Median gross rent is $1,205/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189216101?
40.4% of residents in tract 29189216101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,804.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189216101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 8th, minority 59th, housing 90th.
Q5
Is tract 29189216101 considered part of Varsity neighborhood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29189216101 fall within Varsity neighborhood (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 29189216101 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.71× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 29189216101 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 29189216101 compare to University City overall?
Tract 29189216101 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of University City at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 29189216101 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in University City
Top eight tracts in University City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Skinker DeBaliviere
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
29189215700
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
29189215802
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MO
29189215803
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MO
Varsity neighborhood
3
/ 10 · Low
Related
Explore the geography around tract 29189216101
Parent city ↑
University City
3.4 / 10
Parent county ↑
St. Louis County
Parent state ↑
Missouri
Sibling tract →
Varsity neighborhood
4.8 / 10
Sibling tract →
Varsity neighborhood
4.6 / 10
Sibling tract →
Varsity neighborhood
6 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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