Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally
Berdell Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Normandy
Tract 29189212102 · St. Louis County, MO · pop 2,932 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
In the Berdell Hills neighborhood of Normandy, census tract 29189212102 scores 7.5/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 99% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 63% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 46% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,101 a month against an average household income of $38,073 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. Renters make up 68% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,015
Renter share67.8%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate45.5%
Median income$38,073
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Normandy and the region
Centroid at 38.7156, -90.2757 · click any tract to drill in
Why Berdell Hills scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Normandy
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Missouri legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
45.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,101 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Normandy
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Normandy
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Normandy
8.6
How Berdell Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 96%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 27%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 55%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 439Total filings over 8 yrs
- 10.17%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.0%Peak (2017)
- 75Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 134% over the past 8 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 371Total filings 2020-21
- 4.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.16×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Southwest Oregon, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Berdell Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 41.4%Housing insecurity
- 36.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 51.3%Food insecurity
- 55.3%SNAP enrollment
- 28.2%Transit barriers
- 16.5%No health insurance
- 25.4%Frequent mental distress
- 53.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Berdell Hills
The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Normandy, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the St. Louis County average of 5.6 and above the Missouri statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 41.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 36.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 29189212102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 29189212102?
Census tract 29189212102 in the Berdell Hills neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 29189212102?
Median gross rent is $1,101/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 29189212102?
45.5% of residents in tract 29189212102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,932.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 29189212102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 61th, minority 97th, housing 27th.
Q5
Is tract 29189212102 considered part of Berdell Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 29189212102 fall within Berdell Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 29189212102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 439 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 29189212102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.17% of renter households, peaking at 10.0% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 29189212102 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.16× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Southwest Oregon eviction laws, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 29189212102 struggle to pay rent?
About 41.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 36.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 29189212102 compare to Normandy overall?
Tract 29189212102 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Normandy at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Normandy; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 29189212102 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Normandy
Top eight tracts in Normandy ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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